Most of us have enjoyed the mild winter weather that has lingered into January as predicted by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) back in October. The Old Farmer's Almanac also made the exact same forecast in September, but the Farmers' Almanac (a separate publication) says both those claims are wrong when it comes to some areas of the country. According to their 2019 winter weather outlook, parts of the central US can expect some "teeth-chattering" cold temperatures starting in mid-February. States they claim will be affected range from Montana to Minnesota in the North all the way down to New Mexico, Texas, and Louisiana.
In contrast to that forecast, NOAA officials predict that most of the US will continue to experience a soggy winter through February. According to them, even Hawaii and Alaska can expect warmer weather conditions. Although snow can be a burden when it comes to shoveling driveways or adding chains to vehicle tires, the idea of a warm, rainy winter isn’t much more appealing. Both NOAA and the Old Farmer's Almanac lay blame on the arrival of a weak El Niño in late fall, which NOAA explains is a periodic warming of sea-surface temperatures.
You can take a look below to see how the Old Farmer's Almanac mapped out the muggy details, and to check out how your area will be affected:
Mike Halpert, the deputy director of NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, explained that although it's not a strong push from El Niño, "it may still influence the winter season by bringing wetter conditions across the southern United States, and warmer, drier conditions to parts of the North.”
If you already started daydreaming about making snowmen or sledding down hills in your area, we’re sorry to burst your bubble. Instead of airing out your parkas and snow boots to prepare for frosty temperatures, you’ll need to hang onto your galoshes and raincoats for a bit longer. On the bright side, at least most of us won’t have to worry as much about icky road conditions like black ice popping up and making things worse — or getting stuck inside without power for days at a time when ice storms hit.